Locking the breaker could save thousands of lives by the end of the year, scientists who have advised the government have calculated as pressure mounts on Boris Johnson to impose stricter restrictions.
With the three-stage Covid alert system going into effect across England, the Prime Minister is faced with calls to put in place another fortnight nationwide curbs to bring the coronavirus resurgence under control.
Downing Street is believed to be keeping the idea on the table after Labor leader Sir Keir Starmer said a two- to three-week national lockdown during the October halftime was required to “sleepwalk into a long and dreary winter.” ” to prevent.
The temporary lockdown would result in the closure of most businesses, including pubs and restaurants, if the traffic light system in place today doesn’t slow the spread, government sources told the Telegraph.
It is reported that a decision will be made at the end of next week, just in time for school holidays at halftime. A source claims the likelihood of a U-turn is “at least 80 percent”.
A Tory MP told Express that October halfway point was the “apparent time” for crackdown on Downing Street sources that a “breaker” had not been taken off the table.
A paper by members of the Scientific Advisory Group on Emergencies (Sage) reportedly calculates that more than 7,000 lives could be saved if schools were closed and people had to stay home for two weeks from Oct. 24.
The Times said the modeling indicated that coronavirus deaths could drop from 19,900 to 12,100 for the remainder of the year, with hospital admissions to drop from 132,400 to 66,500.
If schools and businesses stayed open, the death toll could drop to 15,600.
The paper, due to be released Wednesday, was authored by Professor Graham Medley and other members of the government modeling pandemic influenza scientific group known as SPI-M.
You should find that there are “no good epidemiological reasons to delay the break”.
It comes after Sir Keir used a televised press conference to warn that Mr Johnson is “no longer following scientific advice” by proposing “far less stringent restrictions” than suggested by Sage.
More than half (54%) of those polled by YouGov on Tuesday believed the government should have instituted a national lockdown in September, while 28% of 4,222 adults polled disagreed.
On Monday, it emerged that three weeks ago the prime minister rejected a recommendation for a “breaker” from Sage and instead opted for the less drastic three-stage local alert levels.
As part of the measures, which go into effect on Wednesday, all areas of England will be divided into different categories, classified as medium, high or very high risk.
At the middle level, the current national restrictions are maintained, households are not allowed to mix indoors in high-risk areas, and at the third level, stricter restrictions apply, including the closure of pubs – unless they can be operated as a restaurant.
The Liverpool metropolitan area is currently the only area at the highest level. However, it is expected that medical experts and city councils will discuss Wednesday whether Greater Manchester and Lancashire should also be classified as “very high” risks.
In other developments:
– The UK recorded the highest daily death toll in four months. Another 143 people died within 28 days after testing positive for Covid-19 on Tuesday.
– Mr Johnson suffered a major riot on the Tory backbench during the 10 p.m. curfew amid a growing backlash against government coronavirus restrictions.
– Tory MP Chris Green, who represents Bolton West, resigned as a ministerial assistant over local restrictions, saying the “attempt at a cure is worse than the disease”.
– London Mayor Sadiq Khan said it was inevitable that the capital would pass a “trigger point” in the “next few days” to enter the higher tier 2 coronavirus restrictions.
Union leader Sir Keir told reporters on Tuesday: “There is no time to give the prime minister the benefit of the doubt. The government’s plan just isn’t working. Another course is needed.”
He said schools must remain open but that all pubs, bars and restaurants should be closed during the breaker period while companies are compensated so that they “don’t lose business” to “break” the infection cycle.
“If we don’t do that, we could sleep into a long and dreary winter. That decision must now be made by the Prime Minister. I urge him to do so,” said Sir Keir.
He’ll likely get to the point when interviewing Mr Johnson at PMQs in the House of Commons at noon.
Liberal Democratic leader Sir Ed Davey said his party also backed a breaker, warning that “otherwise the cost of living, livelihood and jobs in our communities may be too high to bear”.
And Welsh first minister, Mark Drakeford, told Times Radio he was also considering “brief, sharp intervention” – but there remained “some very practical things we all have to ponder”.
In Northern Ireland, Stormont’s executive is considering a four-week lockdown, which is not as widespread as the one imposed in March.
The first Scottish minister, Nicola Sturgeon, said England’s tiered system would “give an idea” of a similar system it is developing that could come into effect if stricter measures are to be relaxed on October 25.