The BLM protests in 2020 are far more diverse, but mostly young. Woodbury claims Republicans position “racism as a partisan problem”.
“As long as the Democrats are on the No. 1 right for young people, they have the opportunity to get those young people to join the coalition,” he said.
Transgender rights strike a chord
Deckman, the professor at Washington College, sees a similar collision course between Republicans and youth like Generation Z on LGBTQ rights, transgender rights, and the fight against traditional values of religious law.
According to Deckman, their surveys show that while a large proportion of Generation Z identify as cis-male and cis-female – meaning their gender identities match the gender they were assigned at birth – that roughly one in four identify as queer, either as Transgender or identified as “genderqueer”. A third of Gen Zers say they know someone who uses gender neutral pronouns to refer to themselves, and nearly 6 in 10 say that forms or online profiles say they have “more options than” man “or” woman “according to should allow Pew Research Center.
Although Trump says he is for LGTBQ and claims he will be the first president to take office as an advocate for equality between women and men, he said during his 2016 campaign that he is for “traditional marriage.” Furthermore, Trump has never confirmed this by supporting LGBTQ rights in any legal process. In office, Trump a Transgender ban in the military and revoked Obama era Guide to Protecting Trans School Students in Public Schools. And days after a June Supreme Court ruling called for the protection of gays, lesbians and transgender people in the workplace under federal civil rights law, the Department of Health and Human Services pulled away from Trump Health care protection for transgender people – an ordinance blocked by a federal judge in August.
And many members of religious law have turned opposition to transgender rights into a rallying cry and opposed such policies in public schools across the country. Trump’s campaign has not announced any LGBTQ coalition until August and blamed the coronavirus as the reason for the delay.
Republicans’ notion of freedom of religion, particularly regarding discrimination against LGBTQ people, Deckman said, “has no resonance at all with younger Americans.”
In the POLITICO / Morning Consult survey, 49 percent of those polled in Generation Z of voting age were identified as agnostics or atheists.
Realignment is not fate
In general, Gen Z sees Republicans less favorably in Congress (51 percent) than Democrats in Congress (34 percent), according to a poll by POLITICO / Morning Consult among members of the youngest generation of voting age.
While poll after poll found that Gen Z members are identified far more than to the left of the center, Democrats and progressive external groups warn that realignment doesn’t magically manifest itself without targeted effort.
Linnea Stanton, 21, Midwest Regional Director for March for Our Lives, plans to vote for Biden, despite favoring Elizabeth Warren in elementary school. But Stanton harshly criticized the Biden campaign’s efforts to appeal to younger, more diverse voters, saying it had an air of pandering in it.
“Biden played [the wildly popular Spanish-language song] “Despacito” at a rally from his phone – and that’s the thing that went viral from his rally, not that he was talking about his political issues, “said Stanton.” I can tell you [Kamala] Harris carried Timbs [Timberland boots] Got off the plane last week, but I can’t tell you what it actually stands for. “
Stanton wants to learn more from Harris about the “bold and holistic approach” she outlined as a presidential candidate for gun violence. Though Stanton is a registered Democrat, many members of her generation register as independent or unaffiliated – a decision that polls attribute to young voters’ aversion to institutions rather than an indication of their political beliefs.
About half of young Americans, especially Generation Z, who voted through NextGen America, a progressive group founded by billionaire Tom Steyer, did not vote for a party preference. According to NextGen, from 2019 to 2020, around 51 percent of those enrolled chose not to be connected, 41 percent chose Democratic affiliation and 8 percent Republican. The group noted that their results could be more democratic as they actively tried to enroll more people during the primaries, which are closed to independents in some states.
“The Democratic Party is going to be very busy in the next five, ten, 15 years to make sure they give these young people a reason to put a D next to their names,” said Ben Wessel, executive director of NextGen America.
Jeff Weaver understands the opportunity Gen Z offers Democrats. And that’s what he sees in it: an opportunity, not fate. Weaver, former senior advisor to Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign, saw the senator’s support among young Americans remains strong between the ages of 2016 and 2020.
“Gen Zers [are] the most progressive generation in a long time, ”said Weaver. But the Democrats need to get them involved in the party structure and empowered, he said, which not all local party leaders would like to do.
Weaver also warned Democrats who believe a realignment is predicted. Not long after Obama won the White House in 2008, an pollster briefed the Senate chiefs of staff. Weaver was one of them at the time. The pollster said the 2008 election marked a big change in the electorate and predicted Republicans would not win the White House “for the next 25 years.”
“They said that, literally,” recalled Weaver.
Obama’s strength with young voters, which drove him over the edge in key states, undoubtedly demonstrates “the power of being in coalitions with young people,” Weaver said. But “anyone who thinks it’s an autopilot is mistaken.”